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2024 Recap
The S&P 500 had a blast last year, finishing north of a 23% gain, which is not bad, especially given the context of historical returns.
source: carbonfinance
The other major indices also roared. The Nasdaq soared 29%, while the Dow Jones gained a modest 13%, marking a strong year for U.S. equity markets.
Surging AI stocks, a resilient economy, the “Trump 2.0” post-election rally, and rate cuts drove the rally.
source: carbonfinance
The AI powerhouse was a key driver of the S&P 500’s stellar year, contributing 22% of the index’s performance.
Other Magnificent 7 members—Apple, Amazon, and Meta—collectively added another 19% to the total gains.
While Nvidia and Tesla have dominated the internet buzz—and rightfully so—the true standout of last year might come as a surprise. Palantir (PLTR) emerged as the big winner, boasting a remarkable gain of over 300%.
source: real investment advice
As is often the case, investors tend to chase last year’s best performers only to find out that what worked last year may have a quite different outcome this year.
2025 Outlook
No one has a crystal ball.
Wall Street targets range from 6,400 to 7,007.
This implies returns between +8% and +18% from Wednesday’s close.
Analysts project the S&P 500’s earnings to climb to $249 per share by the end of 2024, up from $208 per share—a robust 19% growth. Profit margins are expected to improve, driven by strategic workforce adjustments, shifts in work-from-home policies, and technological advancements.
Lower inflation is expected to ease cost pressures, though this could shift depending on changes in trade policy.
However, a significant event reducing earnings expectations could disrupt this outlook. As history shows, there is a strong correlation between corporate earnings and equity market performance.
source: real investment advice
Overall, the fundamentals driving earnings growth remain solid. While valuations are above historical averages, they aren’t a significant cause for concern. As always, uncertainty persists, but the outlook for stocks appears favourable.
Investors can long the S&P 500 using our 5x S&P 500.
Alternatively, investors can short the S&P 500 using our -5x S&P 500.
Investors can long Palantir using our 3x Palantir.
Alternatively, investors can short Palantir using our -1x Palantir.
Websim is the retail division of Intermonte, the primary intermediary of the Italian stock exchange for institutional investors. Leverage Shares often features in its speculative analysis based on macros/fundamentals. However, the information is published in Italian. To provide better information for our non-Italian investors, we bring to you a quick translation of the analysis they present to Italian retail investors. To ensure rapid delivery, text in the charts will not be translated. The views expressed here are of Websim. Leverage Shares in no way endorses these views. If you are unsure about the suitability of an investment, please seek financial advice. View the original at
Your capital is at risk if you invest. You could lose all your investment. Please see the full risk warning here.
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This is a marketing communication. Please refer to the Prospectus of the ETPs and to the KIID before making any final investment decisions.
This information originates from Investium Limited, which has been appointed as distributor of Leverage Shares products in Europe by Leverage Shares Management Company Limited (the “Arranger”). Investium Limited with registered address at 6 Nikou Georgiou Street, Office 302, 1095 Nicosia Cyprus, is a financial services provider regulated by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC).
The information is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as investment, legal or tax advice. Investium Limited and the Arranger (together referred as “Leverage Shares”) assume no liability with regards to any investment, divestment or retention decision taken by the investor on the basis of this information. The views and opinions expressed are those of the author(s) but not necessarily those of Leverage Shares. Opinions are current as of the publication date and are subject to change with market conditions. Certain statements contained herein may constitute projections, forecasts and other forward-looking statements, which do not reflect actual results. Information provided by third party sources is believed to be reliable and have not been independently verified for accuracy or completeness and cannot be guaranteed.
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