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Date

August 12, 2025

Category

Market Insights

AMD Beats on Revenue, Misses on Earnings, but Delivers Strong Q3 Guidance

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  • AMD reported mixed quarterly earnings on Tuesday
  • Earnings came in below expectations, but revenue topped estimates
  • AMD lifted Q3 guidance amid strong AI demand

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) reported its Q2 2025 earnings on Tuesday, delivering a mixed set of results that reflect both strategic progress and ongoing macro challenges. While revenue topped expectations, earnings per share (EPS) fell slightly short. Despite issuing strong guidance for Q3, shares dropped more than 6% on Wednesday, suggesting investor expectations may have run ahead of fundamentals.

AMD Q2 2025 Topline Growth Beats, But EPS Misses Estimates

For the quarter ended June 2025, AMD reported:

  • Revenue: $7.685 billion vs. $7.428 billion expected (Bloomberg consensus)
  • Net income Adjusted: $781 million vs. $797.86 expected
  • Adjusted EPS: $0.48 vs. $0.488 expected1
While revenue came in above estimates, adjusted earnings per share narrowly missed consensus. Net income for the quarter surged to $872 million, or $0.54 diluted earnings per share, compared to $265 million, or $0.16 per share, a year ago, reflecting the company’s strong operating leverage.2

Gross Margin Pressured by Geopolitical Costs

AMD’s adjusted gross margin stood at 43% for Q2. However, excluding the U.S. Government’s export control, which caused approximately $800 million China-related export charge, gross margin would have been 54%, highlighting that the geopolitical environment remains a critical variable for profitability going forward.2

Guidance Surprises to the Upside Amid AI Optimism

Looking ahead, AMD guided Q3 revenue to $8.7 billion, plus or minus $300 million, exceeding estimates. At the mid-point of the revenue range, this represents year-over-year growth of approximately 28% and sequential growth of approximately 13%. CEO Lisa Su cited “robust demand across our computing and AI-product portfolio,” highlighting optimism around AMD’s next-generation chips.2

Importantly, this guidance excludes any contributions from sales to China, due to ongoing U.S. export controls on high-performance GPUs.2

AI Strategy: Progress Against Nvidia

As the second-largest GPU provider for AI workloads after Nvidia, AMD is rapidly expanding its AI footprint. During the quarter:

  • The company announced its Instinct MI400 series, expected in 2026.
  • OpenAI CEO Sam Altman committed to using AMD GPUs in upcoming deployments.
  • The Instinct MI350, launched in June, is reported to offer 4x the AI compute performance and 35x inference improvements over its predecessor, the MI300.3

Lisa Su confirmed that seven of the top 10 global AI firms are already deploying AMD’s Instinct chips, suggesting AMD is gaining traction in the hyperscale market dominated by Nvidia.

China Export Ban Impact and Inventory Challenges

A key drag this quarter was the $800 million revenue hit from the U.S. export ban on AMD’s MI308 AI chips to China. The company reported an operating loss of $134 million, despite record revenue.2

AMD is currently awaiting license approvals from the U.S. Department of Commerce to resume shipments. CEO Lisa Su stated that most inventory for Chinese customers was not in finished-goods form and could take “a couple of quarters to work through.”

Notably, the Q3 outlook excludes any recovery from China, implying possible further upside potential if licenses are granted.

Segment Highlights: Strong Client and Gaming Demand

  • Data Center revenue reached $3.2 billion, representing a 14% increase year-over-year. This growth was primarily driven by strong demand for AMD EPYC processors, which more than offset the impact of reduced AMD Instinct MI308 shipments to China due to export restrictions.2
  • Client revenue hit a record $2.5 billion, rising 67% year-over-year, supported by strong demand for the latest AMD Ryzen “Zen 5” desktop processors and a shift toward higher-end products.2
  • Gaming revenue increased 73% to $1.1 billion, fueled by growth in semi-custom chip sales and robust demand for AMD Radeon GPUs.2
  • Embedded segment revenue was $824 million, down 4% year-over-year, reflecting mixed demand trends across end markets.2

Source: TradingView, as of August 7, 2025

Stock Reaction and Market Sentiment

Despite robust Q3 guidance and AI momentum, AMD shares dropped post-earnings, reflecting the sharp rally leading into the announcement. The stock is still up 42% YTD and 125% off April lows, driven by investor enthusiasm and growing confidence in AMD’s competitive position in AI.


Despite the share price decline post-earnings, any pullback may be modest and temporary, especially as investors reassess AMD’s growing relevance in the high-performance compute space. Our long-term view on the stock remains positive and we are of the view that the share price could rise towards $200 in the months ahead.

Conclusion: AMD Positions for Long-Term AI Growth

AMD’s Q2 2025 results reflect a company in transition, from a traditional CPU player to a full-stack data centre and AI compute powerhouse. Despite near-term headwinds from export controls, AMD’s strong product roadmap, deepening partnerships with leading AI firms, and improving visibility into licensing suggest the company is well-positioned to compete with Nvidia.


With the Instinct MI355 now shipping and positive early demand signals, AMD’s AI aspirations are quickly becoming reality. For investors, the upcoming quarters will be critical in evaluating AMD’s ability to sustain this momentum while going through the complex U.S.-China trade relations.

Footnotes:

1 Bloomberg Terminal: AMD Earnings Estimates, as of August 7, 2025

2AMD Investor Relationс, AMD Reports Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results, as of August 5, 2025

3AMD Investor Relations, AMD Unveils Vision for an Open AI Ecosystem, Detailing New Silicon, Software and Systems at Advancing AI 2025, as of June 12, 2025

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