Notice of Index Modifications: Ferrari ETPs

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Violeta Todorova

Date

Is it Time to Buy Alibaba?

Your capital is at risk if you invest. You could lose all your investment. Please see the full risk warning here.

  • Revenue for the third quarter misses estimates.
  • Alibaba announces $25 billion share buyback.

On Wednesday Alibaba Holding Ltd. reported its results for the fiscal third quarter ending December 31.

Earnings per share (EPS) came in at RMB18.97 ($2.67), missing analyst expectations of RMB19.17. The company’s revenue reached RMB260.35 billion ($36.67 billion), just shy of the consensus forecast of RMB260.65 billion. Revenue increased 5% year over year, logging a slowdown from the previous quarters as growth in the China e-commerce business and cloud computing division remained slow.

Income from operations was RMB 22.51 billion ($3.17 billion) decreasing 36% year over year. The year-over-year decrease was primarily attributable to impairment of intangible assets of Sun Art and impairment of goodwill of Youku.

Adjusted EBITA, a non-GAAP measurement (excluding share-based compensation expense, impairment of intangible assets and goodwill and certain other items), increased 2% year-over-year to RMB52.84 billion ($7.44 billion).

Net income attributable to ordinary shareholders was RMB14.43 billion ($2.03 billion). Net income was RMB10.72 billion ($1.51 billion), a decrease of 77% or RMB35.03 billion year over year, primarily attributable to mark-to-market changes from the company’s equity investments and the decrease in income from operations due to the impairments related to its video streaming service Youku and supermarket chain Sun Art.

Excluding share based compensation expense, gains/losses of investments, impairment of intangible assets and goodwill, and certain other items, non-GAAP net income in the quarter was RMB47.95 billion ($6.75 billion), a decrease of 4% compared to RMB49.93 billion in the same quarter of 2022.

A graph of stock market

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Source: TradingView

The internet giant approved another $25 billion of share buyback, expanding its existing share repurchase program that was one of the largest in the country. Alibaba said the $25 billion increase is added to its share repurchase program through the end of March 2027, bringing the total available under the plan to $35.3 billion. That will reduce the number of shares and consequently push up the EPS.

Shares of Alibaba have declined 77% from its October 2020 high of $319.32 and were down 13% in 2023. YTD prices are down more than 8%. The Hong-Kong based company carried its largest corporate structure overhaul in 2023 and had several high-profile management changes, with company veteran Eddie Wu becoming chief executive officer (CEO) last September, when former CEO Daniel Zhang suddenly quit.

While at this juncture in time the down trend is still in progress and signs of reversal are lacking, the share price is approaching a significant band of support between $66.63 and $58.01. The all-time low of $58.01 registered in October 2022 is likely to attract buying interest again and we are of the view that share price may be approaching a turning point soon. While its never a good strategy to try to catch a falling knife, further weakness towards the $60.00 may present a good opportunity to start accumulating as the stock appears to be grossly oversold.

The once-dominant company has faced a difficult macroeconomic environment in China, where the consumer has remained weak. Its performance underscored a loss of market share, as local shoppers have been cutting spending and have moved to lower-cost platforms such as rival PDD and ByteDance Ltd. PDD, which owns Pinduoduo and overseas-focused platform Temu, overtook Alibaba last December and became the most valuable Chinese e-commerce company. However, Alibaba is keen to shore up its footprint in overseas markets and regain market share and become a major player in artificial intelligence and the cloud.


Footnotes:
  1. Investor Relations, Company Data
Websim is the retail division of Intermonte, the primary intermediary of the Italian stock exchange for institutional investors. Leverage Shares often features in its speculative analysis based on macros/fundamentals. However, the information is published in Italian. To provide better information for our non-Italian investors, we bring to you a quick translation of the analysis they present to Italian retail investors. To ensure rapid delivery, text in the charts will not be translated. The views expressed here are of Websim. Leverage Shares in no way endorses these views. If you are unsure about the suitability of an investment, please seek financial advice. View the original at

Your capital is at risk if you invest. You could lose all your investment. Please see the full risk warning here.

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Terms and Conditions

Notice

If you are not classified as an institutional investor, you will be categorised as a private/retail investor. At this time, we cannot send communications directly to private/retail investors. You are welcome to view the contents of this website.

If you are an ‘Institutional investor’, you affirm either that you are a Per Se Professional Client, or that you wish to be treated as an Eligible Counterparty Client, both as defined under the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive, or an equivalent in a jurisdiction outside the European Economic Area.

Risk Warnings

The value of an investment in ETPs may go down as well as up and past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Trading in ETPs may not be suitable for all types of investor as they carry a high degree of risk. You may lose all of your initial investment. Only speculate with money you can afford to lose. Changes in exchange rates may also cause your investment to go up or down in value. Tax laws may be subject to change. Please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved. If in any doubt, please seek independent financial advice. Investors should refer to the section entitled “Risk Factors” in the relevant prospectus for further details of these and other risks associated with an investment in the securities offered by the Issuer.

This website is provided for your general information only and does not constitute investment advice or an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any investment.

Nothing on this website is advice on the merits of any product or investment, nothing constitutes investment, legal, tax or any other advice nor is it to be relied on in making an investment decision. Prospective investors should obtain independent investment advice and inform themselves as to applicable legal requirements, exchange control regulations and taxes in their jurisdiction.

This website complies with the regulatory requirements of the United Kingdom. There may be laws in your country of nationality or residence or in the country from which you access this website which restrict the extent to which the website may be made available to you.

United States Visitors

The information provided on this site is not directed to any United States person or any person in the United States, any state thereof, or any of its territories or possessions.

Persons accessing this website in the European Economic Area

Access to this site is restricted to Non-U.S. Persons outside the United States within the meaning of Regulation S under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”). Each person accessing this site, by so doing, acknowledges that: (1) it is not a U.S. person (within the meaning of Regulation S under the Securities Act) and is located outside the U.S. (within the meaning of Regulation S under the Securities Act); and (2) any securities described herein (A) have not been and will not be registered under the Securities Act or with any securities regulatory authority of any state or other jurisdiction and (B) may not be offered, sold, pledged or otherwise transferred except to persons outside the U.S. in accordance with Regulation S under the Securities Act pursuant to the terms of such securities. None of the funds on this website are registered under the United States Investment Advisers Act of 1940, as amended (the “Advisers Act”).

Exclusion of Liability

Certain documents made available on the website have been prepared and issued by persons other than Leverage Shares Management Company. This includes any Prospectus document. Leverage Shares Management Company is not responsible in any way for the content of any such document. Except in those cases, the information on the website has been given in good faith and every effort has been made to ensure its accuracy. Nevertheless, Leverage Shares Management Company shall not be responsible for loss occasioned as a result of reliance placed on any part of the website and it makes no guarantee as to the accuracy of any information or content on the website. The description of any ETP Security referred to in this website is a general one. The terms and conditions applicable to investors will be set out in the Prospectus, available on the website and should be read prior to making any investment.

Leverage Investment

Leverage Shares exchange-traded products (ETPs) provide leveraged exposure and are only suitable for experienced investors with knowledge of the risks and potential benefits of leveraged investment strategies.

Cookies

Leverage Shares Management Company may collect data about your computer, including, where available, your IP address, operating system and browser type, for system administration and other similar purposes (click here for more information). These are statistical data about users’ browsing actions and patterns, and they do not identify any individual user of the website. This is achieved by the use of cookies. A cookie is a small file of letters and numbers that is put on your computer if you agree to accept it. By clicking ‘I agree’ below, you are consenting to the use of cookies as described here. These cookies allow you to be distinguished from other users of the website, which helps Leverage Shares Company provide you with a better experience when you browse the website and also allows the website to be improved from time to time. Please note that you can adjust your browser settings to delete or block cookies, but you may not be able to access parts of our website without them.

This website is maintained by Leverage Shares Management Company, which is a limited liability company and is incorporated in Ireland with registered offices at 2 Grand Canal Square, Grand Canal Harbour, Dublin 2.

By clicking you agree to the Terms and Conditions displayed.