28.03.2025 Notice of Consolidation

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Violeta Todorova

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Light Revenue Forecast Overshadows Subscriber Jump

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Netflix’s second-quarter revenue fell short of Wall Street’s expectations, leading to an almost 9% drop in its shares. Despite adding 5.9 million new streaming customers from April through June and exceeding earnings predictions, the revenue miss and a weaker third-quarter revenue forecast overshadowed the positive news.

Its nearly 6 million subscriber additions outpaced the 1.9 million that Wall Street expected, reaching a total of 238.4 million subscribers worldwide as of the end of June.

Quarterly revenue climbed 2.7% from a year earlier to $8.2 billion, shy of analyst forecasts of $8.3 billion. The company estimated third-quarter revenue would reach $8.5 billion vs. Wall Street forecasts of $8.7 billion.

To combat market saturation in the United States and increasing streaming competition, Netflix has been exploring new revenue sources. The company introduced a cheaper tier with advertising and cracked down on password sharing to encourage paid accounts. However, while the subscriber base expanded, average revenue per member declined due to the lower prices in some regions.

Although Netflix’s password-sharing initiative showed early success, it limited opportunities for price hikes, which had previously driven revenue growth. As a result, Netflix’s stock faced short-term pressure, but the move could lead to future revenue growth.

The streaming giant remains optimistic about accelerating revenue growth in the second half of the year. It plans to create compelling shows and movies, improve monetization, expand its video game business, and enhance user experience.

The company’s focus on long-term revenue growth strategies and its dominance in the streaming industry continue to position it ahead of its competitors. However, investors are urged to temper their expectations given the company’s maturing market and the challenges in the streaming industry.

A graph of stock market Description automatically generated

Source: TradingView

Netflix’s clampdown on password sharing is turning out to be more of a long-term bet than many investors realized. And while the earnings results are causing some short-term pressure, and revenue acceleration might take longer than originally thought, the short-term weakness might provide a good entry point for long-term investors.

Netflix has further revenue opportunities ahead thanks to its removal of the basic tier of service in its core markets. The company is still in a far stronger position compared to rivals and remains the benchmark. It’s worth noting that Netflix is still in its own league, having built a profitable streaming model while its legacy media competitors struggle to do so in an increasingly difficult environment.

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Websim is the retail division of Intermonte, the primary intermediary of the Italian stock exchange for institutional investors. Leverage Shares often features in its speculative analysis based on macros/fundamentals. However, the information is published in Italian. To provide better information for our non-Italian investors, we bring to you a quick translation of the analysis they present to Italian retail investors. To ensure rapid delivery, text in the charts will not be translated. The views expressed here are of Websim. Leverage Shares in no way endorses these views. If you are unsure about the suitability of an investment, please seek financial advice. View the original at

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