The NASDAQ 100 index has been under severe selling pressure throughout 2022 as concerns about the impact of the Federal Reserve’s aggressive interest rate hikes on corporate earnings and the broader economy have been rising. Central banks have started what is likely to turn out to be the most aggressive cycle of interest rate hikes since the late 1980s.
The spectre of significantly higher interest rates this year has sent shockwaves through global markets as investors fear that central banks efforts to contain inflation will end in recession. The interest rate sensitive benchmark has been the hardest hit of the U.S. indices, declining from a high of 16,767 posted in November 2021 to a low of 10,440 in mid-October 2022, erasing more than 37% of its value.
The market is currently pricing in the fourth-straight 75 basis points increase when the Fed meets on the 1 – 2 of November. While the Fed is clearly not done with raising interest rates as inflation remains uncomfortably high, the tech heavy index rallied sharply on Friday, ignited by hopes that the Fed could start slowing the pace of rate hikes in December. Market participants welcomed a report from the Wall Street Journal last week that hinted some Fed officials are concerned about overtightening. San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly was among those who have this view, saying that the central bank should start discussing the potential of a smaller rate hike in December.
For as long as government bond yields are rising equity markets are likely to remain under selling pressure. We suspect markets could start to turn the corner whenever the tightening cycle approaches terminal levels.
Earnings season in the U.S. is kicking into a higher gear with four of the biggest companies by market cap, constituents of the NASDAQ 100, reporting earnings results this week. Microsoft and Alphabet are due to report on Tuesday the 25th of October, followed by Amazon and Apple on Thursday the 27th of October. Given their heavy weightings on the NASDAQ 100 their performance could be crucial for the future direction of the index.
The US economy contracted an annualized 0.6% on QoQ in Q2 2022, matching the second estimate, and confirming the economy technically entered a recession, following a 1.6% drop in Q1.
On Thursday, the 27th of October, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis will release its first look at Q3 GDP, with the economy expected to have expanded at a rate of 2.5% after two consecutive quarters of contraction in the first half of the year.
While the current rebound, which is seen as unwinding oversold momentum conditions, could extend a bit further, the index is not out of the woods yet and faces stiff dynamic resistance exerted by its medium-term down trend line crossing at 12,600. At this juncture in time, we don’t see a reversal of the medium-term down trend and levels to 9,750 appear feasible in the coming months.
Active traders looking to gain magnified exposure to the QQQ ETF may use our 3x Long Tech100 ETP to take advantage of expected short-term rebounds, and our -3x Short Tech100 ETP to capture expected subsequent declines.
Sandeep joined Leverage Shares in September 2020. He leads research on existing and new product lines, asset classes, and strategies, with special emphasis on analysis of recent events and developments.
Sandeep has longstanding experience with financial markets. Starting with a Chicago-based hedge fund as a financial engineer, his career has spanned a variety of domains and organizations over a course of 8 years – from Barclays Capital’s Prime Services Division to (most recently) Nasdaq’s Index Research Team.
Sandeep holds an M.S. in Finance as well as an MBA from Illinois Institute of Technology Chicago.
Violeta joined Leverage Shares in September 2022. She is responsible for conducting technical analysis, macro and equity research, providing valuable insights to help shape investment strategies for clients.
Prior to joining LS, Violeta worked at several high-profile investment firms in Australia, such as Tollhurst and Morgans Financial where she spent the past 12 years of her career.
Violeta is a certified market technician from the Australian Technical Analysts Association and holds a Post Graduate Diploma of Applied Finance and Investment from Kaplan Professional (FINSIA), Australia, where she was a lecturer for a number of years.
Julian joined Leverage Shares in 2018 as part of the company’s premier expansion in Eastern Europe. He is responsible for web content and raising brand awareness.
Julian has been academically involved with economics, psychology, sociology, European politics & linguistics. He has experience in business development and marketing through business ventures of his own.
For Julian, Leverage Shares is an innovator in the field of finance & fintech, and he always looks forward with excitement to share the next big news with investors in the UK & Europe.
Oktay joined Leverage Shares in late 2019. He is responsible for driving business growth by maintaining key relationships and developing sales activity across English-speaking markets.
He joined LS from UniCredit, where he was a corporate relationship manager for multinationals. His previous experience is in corporate finance and fund administration at firms like IBM Bulgaria and DeGiro / FundShare.
Oktay holds a BA in Finance & Accounting and a post-graduate certificate in Entrepreneurship from Babson College. He is also a CFA charterholder.
Terms and Conditions
If you are not classified as an institutional investor, you will be categorised as a private/retail investor. At this time, we cannot send communications directly to private/retail investors. You are welcome to view the contents of this website.
If you are an ‘Institutional investor’, you affirm either that you are a Per Se Professional Client, or that you wish to be treated as an Eligible Counterparty Client, both as defined under the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive, or an equivalent in a jurisdiction outside the European Economic Area.
The value of an investment in ETPs may go down as well as up and past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Trading in ETPs may not be suitable for all types of investor as they carry a high degree of risk. You may lose all of your initial investment. Only speculate with money you can afford to lose. Changes in exchange rates may also cause your investment to go up or down in value. Tax laws may be subject to change. Please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved. If in any doubt, please seek independent financial advice. Investors should refer to the section entitled “Risk Factors” in the relevant prospectus for further details of these and other risks associated with an investment in the securities offered by the Issuer.
This website is provided for your general information only and does not constitute investment advice or an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any investment.
Nothing on this website is advice on the merits of any product or investment, nothing constitutes investment, legal, tax or any other advice nor is it to be relied on in making an investment decision. Prospective investors should obtain independent investment advice and inform themselves as to applicable legal requirements, exchange control regulations and taxes in their jurisdiction.
This website complies with the regulatory requirements of the United Kingdom. There may be laws in your country of nationality or residence or in the country from which you access this website which restrict the extent to which the website may be made available to you.
United States Visitors
The information provided on this site is not directed to any United States person or any person in the United States, any state thereof, or any of its territories or possessions.
Persons accessing this website in the European Economic Area
Access to this site is restricted to Non-U.S. Persons outside the United States within the meaning of Regulation S under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”). Each person accessing this site, by so doing, acknowledges that: (1) it is not a U.S. person (within the meaning of Regulation S under the Securities Act) and is located outside the U.S. (within the meaning of Regulation S under the Securities Act); and (2) any securities described herein (A) have not been and will not be registered under the Securities Act or with any securities regulatory authority of any state or other jurisdiction and (B) may not be offered, sold, pledged or otherwise transferred except to persons outside the U.S. in accordance with Regulation S under the Securities Act pursuant to the terms of such securities. None of the funds on this website are registered under the United States Investment Advisers Act of 1940, as amended (the “Advisers Act”).
Exclusion of Liability
Certain documents made available on the website have been prepared and issued by persons other than Leverage Shares Management Company. This includes any Prospectus document. Leverage Shares Management Company is not responsible in any way for the content of any such document. Except in those cases, the information on the website has been given in good faith and every effort has been made to ensure its accuracy. Nevertheless, Leverage Shares Management Company shall not be responsible for loss occasioned as a result of reliance placed on any part of the website and it makes no guarantee as to the accuracy of any information or content on the website. The description of any ETP Security referred to in this website is a general one. The terms and conditions applicable to investors will be set out in the Prospectus, available on the website and should be read prior to making any investment.
Leverage Shares exchange-traded products (ETPs) provide leveraged exposure and are only suitable for experienced investors with knowledge of the risks and potential benefits of leveraged investment strategies.
This website is maintained by Leverage Shares Management Company, which is a limited liability company and is incorporated in Ireland with registered offices at 2 Grand Canal Square, Grand Canal Harbour, Dublin 2.
By clicking you agree to the Terms and Conditions displayed.