Back in August, the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) remained below 70% and the weekly RSI readings were below 55%, showing that internal momentum conditions are extremely weak despite the strong run. The index encountered strong selling pressure around its medium-term down trend line and has been trading in the red over the past three weeks.
The widely watched technical indicator that investors use to gauge the health of the trend remains in fragile state, feeding worries that the bear market is far from over. While the technical picture can improve or worsen as markets gyrate and investors adjust expectations based on factors such as the trajectory of bond yields, which are driven by monetary policy expectations and have closely tracked the performance of stocks this year, our baseline scenario is for further weakness in the coming months.
In our view, the weekly momentum indicators need to unwind further. Therefore, a re-test of the June 2022 low appears to be on the cards (note: market sentiment about this was indicated in the last article). In the very short-term, the Nasdaq-100 index is likely to extend its current rebound to 12,900, before further weakness unfolds in the seasonally weak month of October.
The +3x Long US Tech 100 ETP provides magnified exposure and are traded on the London Stock Exchange in three different currencies: $LS 3X LONG US TECH 100 ETP(QQL3.UK)$ is traded in US Dollars, $3QQQ is traded in British Pounds and $3QQE is traded in Euros.
Sandeep joined Leverage Shares in September 2020. He leads research on existing and new product lines, asset classes, and strategies, with special emphasis on analysis of recent events and developments.
Sandeep has longstanding experience with financial markets. Starting with a Chicago-based hedge fund as a financial engineer, his career has spanned a variety of domains and organizations over a course of 8 years – from Barclays Capital’s Prime Services Division to (most recently) Nasdaq’s Index Research Team.
Sandeep holds an M.S. in Finance as well as an MBA from Illinois Institute of Technology Chicago.
Violeta joined Leverage Shares in September 2022. She is responsible for conducting technical analysis, macro and equity research, providing valuable insights to help shape investment strategies for clients.
Prior to joining LS, Violeta worked at several high-profile investment firms in Australia, such as Tollhurst and Morgans Financial where she spent the past 12 years of her career.
Violeta is a certified market technician from the Australian Technical Analysts Association and holds a Post Graduate Diploma of Applied Finance and Investment from Kaplan Professional (FINSIA), Australia, where she was a lecturer for a number of years.
Julian joined Leverage Shares in 2018 as part of the company’s premier expansion in Eastern Europe. He is responsible for web content and raising brand awareness.
Julian has been academically involved with economics, psychology, sociology, European politics & linguistics. He has experience in business development and marketing through business ventures of his own.
For Julian, Leverage Shares is an innovator in the field of finance & fintech, and he always looks forward with excitement to share the next big news with investors in the UK & Europe.
Oktay joined Leverage Shares in late 2019. He is responsible for driving business growth by maintaining key relationships and developing sales activity across English-speaking markets.
He joined LS from UniCredit, where he was a corporate relationship manager for multinationals. His previous experience is in corporate finance and fund administration at firms like IBM Bulgaria and DeGiro / FundShare.
Oktay holds a BA in Finance & Accounting and a post-graduate certificate in Entrepreneurship from Babson College. He is also a CFA charterholder.
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