- Instruments
Your capital is at risk if you invest. You could lose all your investment. Please see the full risk warning here.
The recent economic landscape has been marked by growing concerns about a rising rate environment and inflationary pressure. However, despite these challenges, the economy has displayed resilience and unexpected strength.
GDP Growth and Consumer Spending:
The Commerce Department’s third estimate of first-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) revealed on Thursday a 2.0% annualized growth rate, surpassing expectations of 1.4% and compared to 2.6% growth in the fourth quarter. This upward revision can be attributed to upgrades in consumer spending and exports.
Corporate Profits and Employment:
Corporate profits dropped for a thirds straight quarter; however, the decline in the first quarter was not as severe as initially estimated. After-tax profits, excluding inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustment, contracted at a rate of 1.2%, instead of the 2.1% estimated pace.
The Labor Department’s surprising report reported an unexpected reversal in jobless claims, countering a recent surge. The heightened figures had prompted some economists to speculate that layoffs were on the rise as the economy began feeling the impact of significant rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.
For the week ending June 24, initial claims for state unemployment benefits witnessed a notable decline of 26,000, reaching a seasonally adjusted figure of 239,000. This drop marked the largest decrease since October 2021, signalling a positive shift in the labour market. In May, the unemployment rate stood at 3.7%. The persistent robustness in the labour market is playing a crucial role in defying recession predictions.
Inflationary Pressure and Central Bank Actions:
Both Jerome Powell of the U.S. Federal Reserve and Christine Lagarde of the European Central Bank emphasized the importance of conquering inflation at the ECB’s annual gathering at Sintra. In response to rising inflation, the Federal Reserve is considering resuming rate hikes.
Inflation by the Fed’s preferred personal consumption expenditures index rose last month at a year-on-year pace of 3.8%, data Friday showed, easing from April’s 4.4% pace. Underlying core inflation rose 4.6%, a touch less than the 4.7% economists expected. Futures tied to the Fed’s policy rate, which had before the data priced in a nearly 90% chance of a July Fed rate increase, now reflect about an 85% probability.
The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index continues to exceed the Fed’s target of 2%. Futures tied to the Fed’s policy rate, which had before the data priced in a nearly 90% chance of a July Fed rate increase, now reflect about an 85% probability.
Economic Resilience and Recession Outlook:
Despite concerns, the economy has defied predictions of a recession. Resilient labour market strength and robust consumer spending have played a significant role in maintaining economic momentum. Economists question the inevitability of a recession and consider the possibility of a soft landing for the economy, given the current signs of resilience.
Source: TradingView
Technical Analysis Perspective:
The broader S&P 500 index which gives a better representation of the overall U.S. economy has bottomed in October 2022. The emergence of higher highs and higher lows on the daily chart and the recent break above key resistance of 4,325 suggests that the index is trading in an intermediary up trend.
The Relative Strength Index indicator has improved significantly and is now trading in its bull market range. These positive developments on the chart suggest that further upside in the 4,530 – 4,600 range is feasible over the medium-term.
Conclusion:
The economy faces challenges associated with a rising interest rates and persistent inflationary pressures. However, it has demonstrated resilience through encouraging GDP growth, moderate corporate profit declines, positive labour market dynamics, and robust consumer spending. As the Federal Reserve monitors inflation indicators, the path of future interest rate hikes remains a focal point. Despite uncertainties, the economy’s resilience raises questions about the likelihood of an impending recession, suggesting a potential soft landing instead.
Active traders looking for magnified exposure to the U.S. equity market might consider our range of +3x Long US 500 and -3x Short US 500 ETPs.
ETPs have revolutionized the way investors invest across a wide range of asset classes, making investing more accessible, affordable, and transparent. These investment vehicles offer several advantages that make them an attractive choice for investors.
Our ETFs are designed to offer investors a cost-effective way to diversify their portfolios and gain leveraged exposure to a wide range of assets such as stocks, bonds and commodities that were previously unattainable.
In summary, our ETPs represent a unique investment opportunity for investors seeking diversification, leverage, flexibility, cost-efficiency, liquidity and wanting to increase profits in both rising and falling markets.
Your capital is at risk if you invest. You could lose all your investment. Please see the full risk warning here.
Share this:
By subscribing here, you agree with our Privacy Policy and you will receive our newsletters. You can unsubscribe at any time by following the link at the bottom of each newsletter.
The ETP securities are intended for sophisticated investors who (i) are able to monitor their investment in the ETP securities on a frequent basis in line with the recommended holding period; (ii) understand the risk of compounded returns and the increased risk of investment in leveraged products; (iii) can afford to risk losing their investment; and (iv) and have a very short investment horizon in line with the recommended holding period. Please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved. If in any doubt, please seek independent financial advice. Investors should refer to the section entitled “Risk Factors” in the relevant prospectus for further details of these and other risks associated with an investment in the securities offered by the Issuer. This material is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument or product or to adopt any investment strategy. Any decision to invest should be based on the information contained in the relevant base prospectus after seeking independent investment, tax and legal advice.
Never miss out on important announcements. Get premium content ahead of the crowd. Enjoy exclusive insights via the newsletter only.
Terms and Conditions
Notice
If you are not classified as an institutional investor, you will be categorised as a private/retail investor. At this time, we cannot send communications directly to private/retail investors. You are welcome to view the contents of this website.
If you are an ‘Institutional investor’, you affirm either that you are a Per Se Professional Client, or that you wish to be treated as an Eligible Counterparty Client, both as defined under the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive, or an equivalent in a jurisdiction outside the European Economic Area.
Risk Warnings
The value of an investment in ETPs may go down as well as up and past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Trading in ETPs may not be suitable for all types of investor as they carry a high degree of risk. You may lose all of your initial investment. Only speculate with money you can afford to lose. Changes in exchange rates may also cause your investment to go up or down in value. Tax laws may be subject to change. Please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved. If in any doubt, please seek independent financial advice. Investors should refer to the section entitled “Risk Factors” in the relevant prospectus for further details of these and other risks associated with an investment in the securities offered by the Issuer.
This website is provided for your general information only and does not constitute investment advice or an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any investment.
Nothing on this website is advice on the merits of any product or investment, nothing constitutes investment, legal, tax or any other advice nor is it to be relied on in making an investment decision. Prospective investors should obtain independent investment advice and inform themselves as to applicable legal requirements, exchange control regulations and taxes in their jurisdiction.
This website complies with the regulatory requirements of the United Kingdom. There may be laws in your country of nationality or residence or in the country from which you access this website which restrict the extent to which the website may be made available to you.
United States Visitors
The information provided on this site is not directed to any United States person or any person in the United States, any state thereof, or any of its territories or possessions.
Persons accessing this website in the European Economic Area
Access to this site is restricted to Non-U.S. Persons outside the United States within the meaning of Regulation S under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”). Each person accessing this site, by so doing, acknowledges that: (1) it is not a U.S. person (within the meaning of Regulation S under the Securities Act) and is located outside the U.S. (within the meaning of Regulation S under the Securities Act); and (2) any securities described herein (A) have not been and will not be registered under the Securities Act or with any securities regulatory authority of any state or other jurisdiction and (B) may not be offered, sold, pledged or otherwise transferred except to persons outside the U.S. in accordance with Regulation S under the Securities Act pursuant to the terms of such securities. None of the funds on this website are registered under the United States Investment Advisers Act of 1940, as amended (the “Advisers Act”).
Exclusion of Liability
Certain documents made available on the website have been prepared and issued by persons other than Leverage Shares Management Company. This includes any Prospectus document. Leverage Shares Management Company is not responsible in any way for the content of any such document. Except in those cases, the information on the website has been given in good faith and every effort has been made to ensure its accuracy. Nevertheless, Leverage Shares Management Company shall not be responsible for loss occasioned as a result of reliance placed on any part of the website and it makes no guarantee as to the accuracy of any information or content on the website. The description of any ETP Security referred to in this website is a general one. The terms and conditions applicable to investors will be set out in the Prospectus, available on the website and should be read prior to making any investment.
Leverage Investment
Leverage Shares exchange-traded products (ETPs) provide leveraged exposure and are only suitable for experienced investors with knowledge of the risks and potential benefits of leveraged investment strategies.
Cookies
Leverage Shares Management Company may collect data about your computer, including, where available, your IP address, operating system and browser type, for system administration and other similar purposes (click here for more information). These are statistical data about users’ browsing actions and patterns, and they do not identify any individual user of the website. This is achieved by the use of cookies. A cookie is a small file of letters and numbers that is put on your computer if you agree to accept it. By clicking ‘I agree’ below, you are consenting to the use of cookies as described here. These cookies allow you to be distinguished from other users of the website, which helps Leverage Shares Company provide you with a better experience when you browse the website and also allows the website to be improved from time to time. Please note that you can adjust your browser settings to delete or block cookies, but you may not be able to access parts of our website without them.
This website is maintained by Leverage Shares Management Company, which is a limited liability company and is incorporated in Ireland with registered offices at 2 Grand Canal Square, Grand Canal Harbour, Dublin 2.
By clicking you agree to the Terms and Conditions displayed.
Terms and Conditions
Notice
If you are not classified as an institutional investor, you will be categorised as a private/retail investor. At this time, we cannot send communications directly to private/retail investors. You are welcome to view the contents of this website.
If you are an ‘Institutional investor’, you affirm either that you are a Per Se Professional Client, or that you wish to be treated as an Eligible Counterparty Client, both as defined under the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive, or an equivalent in a jurisdiction outside the European Economic Area.
Risk Warnings
The value of an investment in ETPs may go down as well as up and past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Trading in ETPs may not be suitable for all types of investor as they carry a high degree of risk. You may lose all of your initial investment. Only speculate with money you can afford to lose. Changes in exchange rates may also cause your investment to go up or down in value. Tax laws may be subject to change. Please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved. If in any doubt, please seek independent financial advice. Investors should refer to the section entitled “Risk Factors” in the relevant prospectus for further details of these and other risks associated with an investment in the securities offered by the Issuer.
This website is provided for your general information only and does not constitute investment advice or an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any investment.
Nothing on this website is advice on the merits of any product or investment, nothing constitutes investment, legal, tax or any other advice nor is it to be relied on in making an investment decision. Prospective investors should obtain independent investment advice and inform themselves as to applicable legal requirements, exchange control regulations and taxes in their jurisdiction.
This website complies with the regulatory requirements of the United Kingdom. There may be laws in your country of nationality or residence or in the country from which you access this website which restrict the extent to which the website may be made available to you.
United States Visitors
The information provided on this site is not directed to any United States person or any person in the United States, any state thereof, or any of its territories or possessions.
Persons accessing this website in the European Economic Area
Access to this site is restricted to Non-U.S. Persons outside the United States within the meaning of Regulation S under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”). Each person accessing this site, by so doing, acknowledges that: (1) it is not a U.S. person (within the meaning of Regulation S under the Securities Act) and is located outside the U.S. (within the meaning of Regulation S under the Securities Act); and (2) any securities described herein (A) have not been and will not be registered under the Securities Act or with any securities regulatory authority of any state or other jurisdiction and (B) may not be offered, sold, pledged or otherwise transferred except to persons outside the U.S. in accordance with Regulation S under the Securities Act pursuant to the terms of such securities. None of the funds on this website are registered under the United States Investment Advisers Act of 1940, as amended (the “Advisers Act”).
Exclusion of Liability
Certain documents made available on the website have been prepared and issued by persons other than Leverage Shares Management Company. This includes any Prospectus document. Leverage Shares Management Company is not responsible in any way for the content of any such document. Except in those cases, the information on the website has been given in good faith and every effort has been made to ensure its accuracy. Nevertheless, Leverage Shares Management Company shall not be responsible for loss occasioned as a result of reliance placed on any part of the website and it makes no guarantee as to the accuracy of any information or content on the website. The description of any ETP Security referred to in this website is a general one. The terms and conditions applicable to investors will be set out in the Prospectus, available on the website and should be read prior to making any investment.
Leverage Investment
Leverage Shares exchange-traded products (ETPs) provide leveraged exposure and are only suitable for experienced investors with knowledge of the risks and potential benefits of leveraged investment strategies.
Cookies
Leverage Shares Management Company may collect data about your computer, including, where available, your IP address, operating system and browser type, for system administration and other similar purposes (click here for more information). These are statistical data about users’ browsing actions and patterns, and they do not identify any individual user of the website. This is achieved by the use of cookies. A cookie is a small file of letters and numbers that is put on your computer if you agree to accept it. By clicking ‘I agree’ below, you are consenting to the use of cookies as described here. These cookies allow you to be distinguished from other users of the website, which helps Leverage Shares Company provide you with a better experience when you browse the website and also allows the website to be improved from time to time. Please note that you can adjust your browser settings to delete or block cookies, but you may not be able to access parts of our website without them.
This website is maintained by Leverage Shares Management Company, which is a limited liability company and is incorporated in Ireland with registered offices at 2 Grand Canal Square, Grand Canal Harbour, Dublin 2.
By clicking you agree to the Terms and Conditions displayed.
