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Sandeep Rao

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FAANG+: Both Market-Leading and Volatility-Averse

Your capital is at risk if you invest. You could lose all your investment. Please see the full risk warning here.

Big Tech has never been more relevant than ever before. In the current quarter, investors are largely retreating from the conviction in specific names and investing into broad market ETFs as well as large tech stocks. While investing in the former has the benefit of risk diversification, the latter have benefited from depressed earnings estimates which, upon being beaten, have resulted in flows that boosted their stock valuations at a rate higher than that of the broad market.

However, this is by no means a recent phenomenon.

Historical Trends: Big Tech vs the Market

Let’s consider an equally-weighted basket of ten tech stocks: Meta Platforms (META), Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), Netflix (NFLX), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet, Class A (GOOG), Tesla (TSLA), Nvidia (NVDA), Salesforce.com (CRM), and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD). This ten-ticker basket is broadly described as the “FAANG+” theme. The market can be represented by the S&P 500 (SPX).

Around the start of the fourth quarter of 2021, the net performance of FAANG+ for the year started to overtake that of the broad market.

Websim is the retail division of Intermonte, the primary intermediary of the Italian stock exchange for institutional investors. Leverage Shares often features in its speculative analysis based on macros/fundamentals. However, the information is published in Italian. To provide better information for our non-Italian investors, we bring to you a quick translation of the analysis they present to Italian retail investors. To ensure rapid delivery, text in the charts will not be translated. The views expressed here are of Websim. Leverage Shares in no way endorses these views. If you are unsure about the suitability of an investment, please seek financial advice. View the original at

As the market took on a distinctively bullish outlook shortly after the end of the second quarter, FAANG+ displayed increasingly strong evidence of directional cues being taken from the market albeit with a distinct outperformance.

2022 saw the market close 20% lower than at the start of the year. In the same period, FAANG+ read the same phenomenon to close more than 50% lower than at the start of the year.

In 2023, in the year till the 19th of May, the performance comparison is even more skewed. While the market is up by 9% from the start of the year, the FAANG+ is up by more than 52%.

Now, the entirety of FAANG+ is represented in the S&P 500 as well. This highlights an important fact: these 10 stocks now represent the “top of the line” of the market and occupy a large portion of the market only limited by weightage limits in the index:

  1. If any company has a full market capitalization (FMC) weight greater than 24%, the company’s weight is capped at 23%;

  2. The sum of the companies with weights greater than 4.8% cannot exceed 50% of the total index weight, failing which weights are readjusted starting from the smallest company until this rule holds true.

If unfettered of these rules, the S&P 500’s net performance would be dominated by the likes of these ten companies.

Quarterly Price and Volatility Trends

A tabulation of volatility (as represented by standard deviation) for each quarter and price changes from the start to the end of the quarter from the start of 2021 till the present reveal some very interesting trends:

Overall trends in volatility indicate that the market tends to be around 7-9 times more volatile than the FAANG+. The lowest point is the 6 times level seen this past quarter while the highest is at the 10-20 times level seen from Q2 through Q4 of this past calendar year. In terms of price changes, the rate of price change for the FAANG+ theme has tended to be less extreme and (generally) more bullish than that in the market.

An Opportunity Over the Market?

With further contractions expected in the market as calls for a recession becomes increasingly more strident, it should be evident that trends impute a higher level of survivability for these highly-recognizable technology-driven companies over other companies, be they large-, mid- or small-cap. This can also be the attribution for the continuing price ratio overvaluation of these companies.

As the market twists and turns over the next few prospectively-tumultuous quarters, it can be expected that FAANG+ will continue to receive disproportionate attention. To capitalise on this opportunity, Leverage Shares has launched the FAANG+ ETP that holds these ten stocks in equal weights. With wide access across the Continent and affordable pricing, tactical trading strategies based around the FAANG+ will provide an extra edge for sophisticated investors.

Your capital is at risk if you invest. You could lose all your investment. Please see the full risk warning here.

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Terms and Conditions

Notice

If you are not classified as an institutional investor, you will be categorised as a private/retail investor. At this time, we cannot send communications directly to private/retail investors. You are welcome to view the contents of this website.

If you are an ‘Institutional investor’, you affirm either that you are a Per Se Professional Client, or that you wish to be treated as an Eligible Counterparty Client, both as defined under the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive, or an equivalent in a jurisdiction outside the European Economic Area.

Risk Warnings

The value of an investment in ETPs may go down as well as up and past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Trading in ETPs may not be suitable for all types of investor as they carry a high degree of risk. You may lose all of your initial investment. Only speculate with money you can afford to lose. Changes in exchange rates may also cause your investment to go up or down in value. Tax laws may be subject to change. Please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved. If in any doubt, please seek independent financial advice. Investors should refer to the section entitled “Risk Factors” in the relevant prospectus for further details of these and other risks associated with an investment in the securities offered by the Issuer.

This website is provided for your general information only and does not constitute investment advice or an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any investment.

Nothing on this website is advice on the merits of any product or investment, nothing constitutes investment, legal, tax or any other advice nor is it to be relied on in making an investment decision. Prospective investors should obtain independent investment advice and inform themselves as to applicable legal requirements, exchange control regulations and taxes in their jurisdiction.

This website complies with the regulatory requirements of the United Kingdom. There may be laws in your country of nationality or residence or in the country from which you access this website which restrict the extent to which the website may be made available to you.

United States Visitors

The information provided on this site is not directed to any United States person or any person in the United States, any state thereof, or any of its territories or possessions.

Persons accessing this website in the European Economic Area

Access to this site is restricted to Non-U.S. Persons outside the United States within the meaning of Regulation S under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”). Each person accessing this site, by so doing, acknowledges that: (1) it is not a U.S. person (within the meaning of Regulation S under the Securities Act) and is located outside the U.S. (within the meaning of Regulation S under the Securities Act); and (2) any securities described herein (A) have not been and will not be registered under the Securities Act or with any securities regulatory authority of any state or other jurisdiction and (B) may not be offered, sold, pledged or otherwise transferred except to persons outside the U.S. in accordance with Regulation S under the Securities Act pursuant to the terms of such securities. None of the funds on this website are registered under the United States Investment Advisers Act of 1940, as amended (the “Advisers Act”).

Exclusion of Liability

Certain documents made available on the website have been prepared and issued by persons other than Leverage Shares Management Company. This includes any Prospectus document. Leverage Shares Management Company is not responsible in any way for the content of any such document. Except in those cases, the information on the website has been given in good faith and every effort has been made to ensure its accuracy. Nevertheless, Leverage Shares Management Company shall not be responsible for loss occasioned as a result of reliance placed on any part of the website and it makes no guarantee as to the accuracy of any information or content on the website. The description of any ETP Security referred to in this website is a general one. The terms and conditions applicable to investors will be set out in the Prospectus, available on the website and should be read prior to making any investment.

Leverage Investment

Leverage Shares exchange-traded products (ETPs) provide leveraged exposure and are only suitable for experienced investors with knowledge of the risks and potential benefits of leveraged investment strategies.

Cookies

Leverage Shares Management Company may collect data about your computer, including, where available, your IP address, operating system and browser type, for system administration and other similar purposes (click here for more information). These are statistical data about users’ browsing actions and patterns, and they do not identify any individual user of the website. This is achieved by the use of cookies. A cookie is a small file of letters and numbers that is put on your computer if you agree to accept it. By clicking ‘I agree’ below, you are consenting to the use of cookies as described here. These cookies allow you to be distinguished from other users of the website, which helps Leverage Shares Company provide you with a better experience when you browse the website and also allows the website to be improved from time to time. Please note that you can adjust your browser settings to delete or block cookies, but you may not be able to access parts of our website without them.

This website is maintained by Leverage Shares Management Company, which is a limited liability company and is incorporated in Ireland with registered offices at 2 Grand Canal Square, Grand Canal Harbour, Dublin 2.

By clicking you agree to the Terms and Conditions displayed.